Monday, December 12, 2011
Weekly Info 12/9/2011
The newest European maneuvers have trigged a stock rally, but credit markets are not buying the deal. The small upward pressure on US yields today is preparatory to a big borrowing binge by the Treasury next week, not anything fundamental. Through the fog of Europe, dominating and concealing everything, one pattern is clear: the US economy is doing better than forecast 90 days ago, and the rest of the world is in some stage of sinking. The two surveyors of US consumer confidence have each reported November-December gains. New claims for unemployment insurance last month were the lowest since February, and the small-business org, NFIB, has also found the first up-turn in small-business hiring since 2008. The Fed's Z-1 reported a couple-trillion-dollar drop in US household net worth in the 3rd quarter; however, all of it was attributable to stock market losses then, all of which have been recovered.
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