Monday, February 28, 2011

2011 Rebound: Affordability High, Investors Back

Plenty of signs point to the housing market finally bottoming out and moving into rebound mode this year, experts say in a recent article in The Wall Street Journal.

Investors, who were burned when the housing bubble burst in 2006, are back on the market, betting on a rebound, and snagging up houses and condos in all-cash deals.

What’s more, housing is at the most affordable it has been in decades nationwide — when home prices and average incomes are taken into account, according to analysts at Moody's Analytics. The cost of a house is equal to about 19 months of income for an average family, which is at the lowest level in 35 years. (Prices generally average nearly two years of pay.)

"Pricing is down so much in some markets that when you analyze renting versus owning it makes much more sense to own,” Michael Larson, a real-estate analyst at Weiss Research in Jupiter, Fla., told The Wall Street Journal.

Housing prices likely will bottom in 2011, says Scott Simon, a managing director at the money-management firm Pimco in Newport Beach, Calif. While he expects housing prices to possibly drop another 5 percent, he says that is a small amount when in some markets prices have dropped by half or more since housing prices started falling in 2006.
Source: “Why 2011 May Be the End of the Housing Crash,” The Wall Street Journal (Feb. 27, 2011)

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Survey: Sellers Fare Better With Agents

Sellers have a better chance at getting their house sold by using a REALTOR® than opting for the do-it-yourself approach, according to a survey of 1,000 home owners by HomeGain.com, an online real estate resource. Nearly 60 percent of home owners who used a REALTOR® to sell their home were successful compared to 39 percent of FSBOs, the survey found.

In the survey, 83 percent of home owners said they used a REALTOR® to sell their home, whereas 17 percent said they tried to sell it themselves. This corresponds to results from NAR's 2010 Profile of Buyers & Sellers, which found 88 percent of sellers were assisted by a real estate agent. (Additionally, 83 percent of buyers bought their home through an agent.)

“It is especially striking that home owners fare significantly better in selling their homes using a REALTOR® than selling on their own,” says Louis Cammarosano, general manager at HomeGain. “Due to that relative success, the level of satisfaction in the home selling process is also higher for home sellers utilizing the services of a REALTOR® than those who try to sell their homes on their own.”

Among the findings in its For Sale by Owner vs. REALTOR® survey:

88 percent of home owners who sold their homes using a REALTOR® said they would use a REALTOR® again.
24 percent of FSBOs eventually contacted a REALTOR® to help sell their home.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Existing-Home Sales Up Again in January

The uptrend in existing-home sales continues, with January sales rising for the third consecutive month with a pace that is now above levels a year ago, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.

Existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 2.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million in January from a downwardly revised 5.22 million in December, and are 5.3 percent above the 5.09 million level in January 2010. This is the first time in seven months that sales activity was higher than a year earlier.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the improvement is good but could be better. “The uptrend in home sales is consistent with improvements in the economy and jobs, which are helping boost consumer confidence,” Yun said. “The extremely favorable housing affordability conditions are a big factor, but buyers have been constrained by unnecessarily tight credit. As a result, there are abnormally high levels of all-cash purchases, along with rising investor activity.”

A parallel NAR practitioner survey shows first-time buyers purchased 29 percent of homes in January, down from 33 percent in December and 40 percent in January 2010 when an extended tax credit was in place.
Investors accounted for 23 percent of purchases in January, up from 20 percent in December and 17 percent in January 2010; the balance of sales were to repeat buyers. All-cash sales rose to 32 percent in January from 29 percent in December and 26 percent in January 2010.

“Increases in all-cash transactions, the investor market share and distressed home sales all go hand-in-hand. With tight credit standards, it’s not surprising to see so much activity where cash is king and investors are taking advantage of conditions to purchase undervalued homes,” Yun said.

All-cash purchases are at the highest level since NAR started measuring these purchases monthly in October 2008, when they accounted for 15 percent of the market. The average of all-cash deals was 20 percent in 2009, rising to 28 percent last year.

The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $158,800 in January, down 3.7 percent from January 2010. Distressed homes edged up to a 37 percent market share in January from 36 percent in December; it was 38 percent in January 2010.

NAR President Ron Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I., said the median price is being dampened by unusual market factors. “Unprecedented levels of all-cash purchases, primarily of distressed homes sold at deep discounts, undoubtedly pulls the median price downward,” Phipps said. “Given the levels of inventory we see today, we believe that traditional homes in good condition have held their value.”

Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 5.1 percent to 3.38 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 7.6-month supply at the current sales pace, down from an 8.2-month supply in December. The inventory supply is at the lowest level since December 2009 when there was a 7.3-month supply.

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage rose to 4.76 percent in January from 4.71 percent in December; the rate was 5.03 percent in January 2010.
Single-family home sales rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.69 million in January from 4.58 million in December, and are 4.9 percent higher than the 4.47 million level in January 2010. The median existing single-family home price was $159,400 in January, down 2.7 percent from a year ago.

Existing condominium and co-op sales increased 4.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 670,000 in January from 640,000 in December, and are 7.9 percent above the 621,000-unit pace one year ago. The median existing condo price was $154,900 in January, which is 10.2 percent below January 2010.

Regional Sales
Northeast: Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 4.6 percent to an annual pace of 830,000 in January from a spike in December and are 1.2 percent below January 2010. The median price in the Northeast was $236,500, which is 4.0 percent below a year ago.

Midwest :"Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 1.8 percent in January to a level of 1.14 million and are 3.6 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $126,300, which is 3.2 percent below January 2010.

South: In the South, existing-home sales increased 3.6 percent to an annual pace of 2.02 million in January and are 8.0 percent higher than January 2010. The median price in the South was $136,600, down 2.1 percent from a year ago.

West: Existing-home sales in the West rose 7.9 percent to an annual level of 1.37 million in January and are 7.0 percent above January 2010. The median price in the West was $193,200, down 5.7 percent from a year ago.

— NAR

Wednesday, February 9, 2011

The First Question You Should Ask Your Listing Agent

What is the most important thing a seller should look for when hiring a real estate agent to sell their house? We are often asked this question. Is it the size of the company they are licensed with? Is it their marketing program? Their years experience in the business? Should you choose the agent who suggests the highest listing price?

There are many things that should be taken into consideration when hiring someone and giving them the responsibility for selling your home. In our opinion, the most important question you can ask a potential listing agent is a simple one:

Do you truly believe that now is a good time to buy a home?
Why should this matter when hiring someone to SELL your home? Buyers are nervous about purchasing right now. They want to know they are making an intelligent choice. We believe, especially in today’s market, you need to hire someone who realizes that this is one of the best times in American real estate history to buy. If an agent doesn’t believe that, how will they be able to convince a potential buyer to buy your home?

When interviewing a real estate professional, ask them to explain why purchasing a home makes sense today. They should be able to explain it simply and effectively. See how many of the following facts (which should be shared with every potential purchaser) the agent knows:

The Wall Street Journal last week stated:

“With home sales starting to improve, and with prices now possibly forming a bottom, real estate could well be the asset class that represents the best low-risk buying opportunity out there today.”

Donald Trump was just quoted saying:

“I’m pretty sure this is a great time to go out and buy a house. And if you do, in 10 years you’re going to look back and say, ‘You know, I‘m glad I listened to Donald Trump’.”

John Paulson, a multibillionaire hedge fund operator and the investment genius who made a killing betting against housing a few years ago, is now bullish on residential real estate market. He recently said:

“If you don’t own a home, buy one. If you own one home, buy another one. If you own two homes, buy a third. And, lend your relatives the money to buy a home.”

A recent Gallup Poll showed that 67% of American’s think that now is a ‘good time’ to buy a home. The Gallup Organization went on to say:

“Overall, there is good reason for most Americans to think now is a good time to buy a house. Interest rates remain near historic lows. Home prices are down sharply, providing many incredible buys.”

The iconic financial paper in this country, the country’s most famous real estate investor, the most successful prognosticator of the housing market and 2/3 of all Americans say now is the time to buy a home. Shouldn’t your agent agree?

Bottom Line
Selling is nothing more than the transference of conviction. How can agents transfer that conviction if they themselves are not convinced? Find a listing agent who truly believes that someone should buy your home – TODAY! This is the single most important thing you should look for in a potential listing agent.

Monday, February 7, 2011

BofA Launches New Foreclosure Unit

Bank of America Corp. is splitting its mortgage business into two units in order to get a better handle on the flood of foreclosures.

Bank of America’s new unit, Legacy Asset Servicing, will be charged with resolving issues involving faulty paperwork that had led the bank to temporarily suspend foreclosures across the country for nearly two months in October. The new unit will also handle mortgage modifications and buyback claims on bad loans sold to investors.

Meanwhile, Bank of America’s Home Loans unit will continue to handle new loans and the servicing of current loans.

The company also said it plans to exit the reverse mortgage origination business.

Bank of America Home Loans lost $8.92 billion in 2010 and has been battered by a stream of lawsuits, mostly focused on bad loans it acquired when it purchased Countrywide in 2008.

Source: “Bank of America Splits Foreclosures, Discontinued Projects From Mortgage Lending Business,” Associated Press (Feb. 4, 2011)

More Seniors Have Reverse Mortgage Regret

More than 30,000 U.S. home owners are facing foreclosure after defaulting on their reverse mortgages.

Reverse mortgages are a type of home-equity loan only available to home owners 62 years old or older. These home owners tapped into the equity of their paid-off homes to help boost their income, but now they could lose their homes after failing to pay property taxes, property insurance premiums, or other costs associated with the home.

Florida, in particular, is hard hit with nearly 5,300 in default from reverse mortgages; that’s the highest number in the country, making up about 18 percent of the U.S. total, according to the CredAbility Group, a nonprofit consumer credit counseling service.

However, some experts say critics shouldn’t be too quick to just blame the problem on reverse mortgages in general.
Peter Bell, president of the Reverse Mortgage Lenders Association, says that many of the home owners now in default likely would have been facing foreclosure earlier if they hadn’t had reverse mortgage companies lend them the money needed to pay insurance and tax bills.

"The reverse mortgage has actually provided more protection for them than under usual circumstances," he says. "Whenever a home owner can't pay their taxes, they run the risk of losing their property through foreclosure. In this case, mortgage servicers have provided advances on their behalf to avoid that."

Source: “Seniors Find Dark Side to Reverse Mortgages,” Orlando Sentinel (Feb. 3, 2011)

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Mortgage Rates Hold Mostly Steady This Week

Mortgage rates mostly remained steady for the week, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly report on average mortgage rates.

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate increased just slightly this week to 4.81 percent from 4.80 percent the week prior. Mortgage rates have been steadily inching upward since reaching a 40-year low in November of 4.17 percent. Meanwhile, 15-year rates dropped to 4.08 percent this week from 4.09 percent last week.

Five-year adjustable-rate mortgages also fell slightly to 3.69 percent from 3.7 percent last week.

"Mortgage rates held relatively stable this week on news that the economy improved and inflation remained in check at the end of 2010,” says Frank Nothaft, chief economist at Freddie Mac.

5 Unexpected Foreclosure Hotspots

While Las Vegas boasts the worst foreclosure rate in the country, several other cities are creeping up with the fastest growing rates of foreclosures — and they’re in some unexpected places.

These cities mostly have one thing in common: They’re all battling a growing number of job losses among their residents that are leading more home owners to default on their mortgages.

Here are five cities with some of the fastest-growing foreclosure rates in the country:

1. Spartanburg, S.C.
Foreclosure rate: 1 in 60 homes

This city in upstate South Carolina faced a 228 percent increase in foreclosure filings in 2010 — making it the nation's fastest-growing foreclosure rate. In 2009, the city’s unemployment rate hit 12.7 percent in 2009, dropping to 10.9 percent in 2010, yet still well above the national average.

2. Albuquerque, N.M.
Foreclosure rate: 1 in 46 homes

Albuquerque had a 60 percent increase in foreclosures in 2010. This city has had one of the fastest-growing metro areas over the past decade, attracting young professionals and retirees, but its economy was hard hit by the recession.

3. Myrtle Beach, S.C.
Foreclosure rate: 2.25 percent

Myrtle Beach had a 44 percent increase in foreclosures in 2010. Once a big draw for vacation-home buyers, the city’s second-home market was crushed by the recession when tourism dropped and unemployment increased.

4. Savannah, Ga.
Foreclosure rate: 1 in 40 homes

Savannah had a 37 percent increase in foreclosure filings in 2010. Its unemployment rate is still on the rise; in November it rose to 8.9 percent. Many of the foreclosures in the city are in its Historic District or The Landings, popular areas where home prices rose quickly during the housing boom days.

5. Charlotte, N.C.
Foreclosure rate: 1 in 50 homes

Charlotte also had a 37 percent increase in foreclosure filings in 2010. Its unemployment rate is dropping; it was 10 percent in November. Charlotte has become the 33rd largest metro area in the country, growing by more than 30 percent in the past 10 years.

Source: “10 Surprise Foreclosure Hotspots,” CNN Money (Feb. 1, 2011)

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

You Don't have to be Superman

I found this past weekend’s New York Times article, You Don’t Have To Pay It, very interesting reading. It was a piece on whether it makes sense to pay a 6% commission to your real estate agent in today’s market. In the article, there are sellers, buyers and even agents debating what is the right number that should be charged to assist a consumer in completing a real estate transaction. We would like to add our two cents to the debate.

Forget what the actual amount of the commission is. The bigger question is whether you should pay a ‘full fee’ when hiring a real estate expert to guide you through the complexities of today’s rapidly changing housing environment.

If a full fee was the rule in 2006 when completing a deal was so much simpler, why would you now consider cutting the fee of your agent in today’s tumultuous market? You are depending on this person to help you reach your goals in a sale or purchase. In 2006, buyers were willing to pay almost anything to a seller just to get into a home. Banking entities seemed to be willing to mortgage any property for any buyer. The process was rather simple.

Today, a person looking to buy or sell should be willing to pay a full fee for two reasons:

You need an expert guide if you are traveling a dangerous path
The field of real estate is loaded with land mines. You need a true expert to guide you through the dangerous pitfalls that currently exist. Finding a buyer willing to pay fair market value for your home at a time that there are mass inventories of foreclosures and short sales will take a true real estate professional. Finding reasonable financing can also be tricky in today’s lending environment.

Experts in any profession, do not discount their fees; especially when the job is becoming much more difficult.

You need a skilled negotiator
In today’s market, hiring a talented negotiator could save you thousands, perhaps tens of thousands of dollars. Each step of the way – from the original offer, to the possible re-negotiation of that off after a home inspection, to the possible cancellation of the deal based on a troubled appraisal – you need someone who can keep the deal together until it closes.

When an agent is negotiating their commission with you, they are negotiating their own salary. The salary that keeps a roof over their family’s head. A salary that puts food on their family’s table. If they are quick to take less when negotiating for themselves and their families, what makes you think they will not act the same way when negotiating for you and your family? If they were Clark Kent when negotiating with you, they will not turn into Superman when negotiating with the buyer or seller in your deal.

Bottom Line
We believe that famous sayings become famous because they are true. You get what you pay for. Just like a good accountant or a good attorney, a good agent will save you money…not cost you money.