Monday, November 14, 2011

Rising Negative Equity Puts More Than One in Four Underwater

After declining between the first and second quarters of this year, Zillow says negative equity rose again in the third, reclaiming all of the previous quarter’s decline and then some.
Zillow’s latest market analysis indicates 28.6 percent of American homeowners with a mortgage owed more on the loan than their home was worth as of the end of September. That’s up from 26.8 percent in the second quarter and 28.4 percent in the first quarter.
Dr. Stan Humphries, Zillow’s chief economist, explains that negative equity fell in the second quarter on the basis of sharp improvements in depreciation rates and flat foreclosure liquidation rates.

Weekly Info 11/07/2011

A lot of really smart people are trying to figure out the European breaking point. Can't be done. Like watching an inevitable car accident with a closing speed of an inch per day. Markets via bank run may step on the accelerator at any time. Or these boobs may stay on the Merkel Plan and let austerity run its course, which means recession throughout Europe, collapsing credit and then bank collapse. Unlike the US, Europe has understood for more than a century that banks are public utilities, but they forget that there are limits to capacity at the sewer plant. Once you have a sewer plant in trouble, be veeerrry careful with the valves. Mercifully, since the world buys so little from us, we'll be less-impacted by global recession than anyone. No inflation, low or lower interest rates, Fed free to QE3, easy to sell Treasurys. Born lucky.